ES Mostaganem vs CS Constantine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
48.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
5º
16º
14º
34
2º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 59 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 53 |
2º
|
74% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 50 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 45 |
4º
|
49% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 42 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 38 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 36 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
14º
|
56.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 30 |
15º
|
79.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 23 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 97% |
|
Relegation
|
16% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Mostaganem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
USB
1 - 2
ESM
38%
26%
35%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ESM
1 - 1
ALG
27%
31%
42%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
TEM
0 - 0
ESM
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ESM
2 - 1
TIA
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
ESM
1 - 1
WAT
80%
14%
7%
|
60 | 12 | 48 | -1 |
Matches
CS Constantine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
OAK
1 - 0
CON
10%
15%
74%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
BEL
0 - 2
CON
44%
28%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CON
0 - 1
EBA
70%
20%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SIM
2 - 0
CON
29%
24%
47%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CON
3 - 0
CSS
71%
19%
11%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |