ES Mostaganem vs CS Constantine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Mostaganem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
USM
2 - 2
ESM
44%
25%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
ESM
1 - 0
ASM
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
USM
3 - 2
ESM
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2009 |
ESM
4 - 2
SET
58%
23%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
PAR
3 - 0
ESM
58%
22%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CS Constantine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
CON
1 - 0
MCS
29%
29%
43%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
MOH
1 - 0
CON
46%
29%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
SET
1 - 2
CON
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2009 |
ARZ
2 - 0
CON
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
CAB
2 - 0
CON
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |