ES Jerba vs AS Marsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
58.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Jerba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
ESJ
0 - 2
ASR
23%
26%
52%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
ESH
0 - 1
ESJ
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ESJ
2 - 0
ASD
23%
28%
49%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
MEN
1 - 2
ESJ
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ESJ
1 - 1
STA
8%
28%
64%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
AS Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
MEN
2 - 1
ASD
22%
28%
50%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 2
STA
35%
30%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ESJ
2 - 0
ASD
23%
28%
49%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 0
ESH
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ASR
0 - 1
ASD
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |