ES Bourges Moulon vs Châteauroux II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
44.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
13º
13º
31
4º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
82% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
46% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
74.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Bourges Moulon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
MON
1 - 0
SBM
71%
17%
13%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SBM
2 - 4
ROM
21%
23%
57%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
CHA
4 - 3
SBM
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
SBM
0 - 2
CHA
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
AVO
1 - 0
SBM
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Châteauroux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
3 - 0
TOU
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MON
1 - 0
CHA
67%
20%
13%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 0
UNI
25%
22%
54%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ROM
1 - 2
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 0
VIE
17%
20%
63%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +2 |