Erzgebirge Aue II vs Borea Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
ZWI
0 - 0
ERZ
41%
25%
35%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ERZ
0 - 0
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
ERZ
1 - 1
LOK
37%
25%
37%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SAC
1 - 1
ERZ
51%
25%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ERZ
2 - 0
ROT
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Borea Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BDR
0 - 0
POS
40%
26%
34%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
VFL
4 - 1
BDR
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BDR
1 - 2
AUE
22%
25%
53%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
GER
0 - 1
BDR
65%
20%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
BDR
3 - 0
SCH
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |