Erzgebirge Aue II vs Borea Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
MAG
1 - 1
ERZ
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 63 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Borea Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
BDR
0 - 1
MAR
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
CHE
5 - 0
BDR
73%
18%
10%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
BDR
0 - 5
PLA
24%
24%
53%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
GER
3 - 2
BDR
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
BDR
2 - 1
POS
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |