Erzgebirge Aue II vs Grun Weiss Wolfen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ROT
2 - 1
ERZ
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
ERZ
1 - 1
MAG
15%
22%
63%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ERZ
4 - 1
EIL
48%
24%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
GER
3 - 2
ERZ
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BUD
2 - 0
ERZ
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Grun Weiss Wolfen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
GWW
3 - 1
MAR
26%
25%
49%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
GWW
2 - 3
AUE
21%
24%
55%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
MEU
1 - 0
GWW
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
GWW
0 - 2
GER
27%
24%
49%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
BDR
2 - 2
GWW
48%
25%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |