Erzgebirge Aue II vs Fortuna Chemnitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DYN
2 - 0
ERZ
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ERZ
0 - 1
CAR
43%
25%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LOK
2 - 0
ERZ
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ERZ
0 - 3
VFL
70%
17%
12%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 1
ERZ
40%
24%
36%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Chemnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FCH
1 - 1
DYN
27%
23%
50%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
FCH
3 - 2
GRU
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ROT
3 - 1
FCH
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FCH
1 - 1
ZWI
22%
24%
54%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BUD
2 - 2
FCH
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |