Erzgebirge Aue II vs Gera 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ERZ
5 - 1
BUD
36%
25%
39%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
ERZ
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ERZ
1 - 0
MEU
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
GER
2 - 0
ERZ
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
ERZ
3 - 0
BDR
42%
25%
34%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gera 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
GER
2 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
MEU
4 - 0
GER
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
GER
0 - 4
GER
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
BDR
1 - 3
GER
31%
25%
44%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
GER
1 - 3
MAG
17%
24%
60%
|
31 | 63 | 32 | 0 |