Erzeni Shijak vs Vllaznia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
46%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
8º
8º
50
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzeni Shijak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
ERZ
1 - 0
BES
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
VOR
1 - 4
ERZ
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ERZ
4 - 1
BES
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 0
ERZ
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ERZ
3 - 1
BUT
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CSU
3 - 0
VLZ
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
VLZ
1 - 1
CSU
33%
25%
43%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
FCM
0 - 1
VLZ
10%
21%
69%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2022 |
VLZ
2 - 1
LAÇ
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
KRU
1 - 3
VLZ
29%
30%
41%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |