Erzeni Shijak vs Kukësi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
8º
8º
45
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzeni Shijak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ERZ
4 - 0
TUR
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ERZ
0 - 0
EGN
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
BYL
4 - 1
ERZ
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 2
ERZ
13%
21%
66%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ERZ
1 - 0
LAÇ
29%
31%
41%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Kukësi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
KUK
2 - 0
LFC
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KUK
2 - 0
BYL
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LAÇ
0 - 1
KUK
48%
25%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
LFC
0 - 3
KUK
15%
17%
68%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
KUK
1 - 2
PAR
31%
29%
40%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |