Erstein vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.9%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
80%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
SPI
0 - 0
BEZ
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
SPI
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
SPI
0 - 0
PFC
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
SED
1 - 2
SPI
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
SPI
0 - 1
AVR
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |