Erstein vs Biesheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
77.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ERS
0 - 2
TRO
5%
11%
85%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SAR
3 - 1
ERS
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ERS
0 - 1
LUN
7%
14%
79%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
RCE
3 - 0
ERS
83%
12%
5%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ERS
0 - 3
NAN
9%
15%
76%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Biesheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
TRE
0 - 1
BIE
34%
23%
44%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BIE
2 - 2
SAR
35%
24%
40%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LUN
3 - 3
BIE
63%
20%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BIE
1 - 0
RCE
45%
25%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
NAN
1 - 1
BIE
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |