Erpeldange vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
70.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erpeldange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
WIL
2 - 0
ERP
79%
14%
8%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ERP
0 - 0
FCR
17%
22%
61%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
UME
4 - 2
ERP
70%
18%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ERP
3 - 3
JEU
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
BBM
3 - 0
ERP
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SWI
2 - 0
JEU
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
KAE
3 - 1
SWI
45%
23%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SWI
4 - 1
MAM
73%
17%
11%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
KOE
0 - 7
SWI
12%
18%
70%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SWI
0 - 1
ESC
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |