Ermionidas-Ermis vs Panelefsiniakos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
66.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
10º
17º
17º
35
4º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 53 |
9º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
51 | 52 |
10º
|
68.5% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 48 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
76% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
61% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
19 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 3 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ermionidas-Ermis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PAO
3 - 2
ERM
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
AME
3 - 1
ERM
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ERM
0 - 3
ROD
17%
21%
62%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AEP
3 - 0
ERM
57%
22%
22%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ERM
1 - 0
PAN
66%
20%
14%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Panelefsiniakos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 0
MIS
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 0
PAN
19%
25%
56%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FIL
1 - 1
PAN
8%
14%
78%
|
45 | 12 | 33 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PAN
0 - 2
PAS
85%
11%
5%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 1
RAF
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |