Ermionidas-Ermis vs Marko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
58.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+136%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
10º
17º
17º
56
2º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
56 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 53 |
9º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
51 | 52 |
10º
|
68.5% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 48 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
76% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
61% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
19 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 3 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ermionidas-Ermis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
IAL
1 - 1
ERM
67%
20%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ERM
0 - 1
VAR
23%
24%
53%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
AFA
1 - 3
ERM
29%
23%
48%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ERM
0 - 1
PAN
14%
19%
67%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PAO
3 - 2
ERM
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Marko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MIS
1 - 1
FCM
17%
20%
64%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FCM
1 - 1
FIL
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PAS
1 - 0
FCM
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCM
1 - 2
RAF
64%
21%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 1
FCM
30%
27%
43%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |