Ermionidas-Ermis vs APS Patrai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
5º
8º
8º
12
10º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ermionidas-Ermis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
AOA
1 - 3
ERM
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
ERM
3 - 1
DIA
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 0
ERM
47%
26%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ERM
1 - 2
AME
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
IAL
1 - 0
ERM
45%
26%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
APS Patrai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
DIA
2 - 1
APS
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
APS
1 - 2
AME
10%
18%
72%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PAN
3 - 2
APS
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
APS
3 - 1
PAN
16%
20%
65%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AOF
4 - 0
APS
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |