Ermionidas-Ermis vs Aias Gastounis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
40.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
5º
8º
8º
27
4º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ermionidas-Ermis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
DIA
0 - 0
ERM
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ERM
1 - 0
PAN
46%
25%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
AME
1 - 0
ERM
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ERM
2 - 1
IAL
47%
25%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PAN
1 - 1
ERM
33%
25%
42%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aias Gastounis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
PAN
1 - 1
AOA
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AOA
2 - 1
IAL
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PAN
4 - 1
AOA
76%
17%
8%
|
31 | 61 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
AOA
0 - 1
MYT
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
AEP
3 - 0
AOA
43%
22%
35%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |