Oberliga Bayern North Relegation Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Erlenbach vs Jahn Forchheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
65.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erlenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2017 |
JFO
0 - 2
ERL
83%
12%
6%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
ERL
4 - 0
FRO
42%
26%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
AHA
2 - 2
ERL
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
AMM
3 - 1
ERL
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ERL
1 - 3
NEU
9%
18%
74%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Jahn Forchheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2017 |
JFO
0 - 2
ERL
83%
12%
6%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
AHA
2 - 2
JFO
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
JFO
4 - 0
AHA
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
FCL
1 - 1
JFO
18%
19%
63%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
JFO
3 - 0
TSU
86%
10%
5%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |