SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
62.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-89%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ENN
3 - 2
ERK
30%
23%
48%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ERK
1 - 1
GUT
25%
24%
52%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
NEU
1 - 1
ERK
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ERK
2 - 2
ERN
29%
24%
47%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
HEV
3 - 0
ERK
14%
19%
67%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
WAT
1 - 0
SPR
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ABI
2 - 2
WAT
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
WAT
2 - 0
HAM
71%
17%
12%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
GIE
0 - 2
WAT
11%
17%
71%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ENN
0 - 4
WAT
17%
20%
63%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |