SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
SPO
4 - 1
ERK
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1997 |
ERK
1 - 1
AAA
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
HOM
3 - 1
ERK
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
ERK
3 - 1
VER
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
PRE
0 - 1
ERK
59%
24%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
PAD
2 - 2
RWA
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1997 |
PAD
2 - 1
FCR
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 1997 |
SPO
2 - 0
PAD
63%
19%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
PAD
1 - 3
HAU
65%
22%
14%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
ROT
3 - 1
PAD
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |