SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Paderborn 07 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-89%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
KMA
3 - 0
ERK
47%
22%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ERK
1 - 4
BGH
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ENN
1 - 2
ERK
38%
24%
39%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
WER
5 - 0
ERK
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ERK
1 - 2
LIP
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Paderborn 07 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 1
HAS
25%
22%
53%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
HUL
7 - 1
PAD
75%
14%
11%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 0
ERH
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
HAM
2 - 1
PAD
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 1
RBE
29%
22%
49%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |