SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-77%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
SKF
3 - 2
ERK
69%
17%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
ERK
5 - 2
HAM
60%
20%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
S04
0 - 2
ERK
60%
19%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
ERK
0 - 4
BVB
50%
22%
29%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
ERK
5 - 1
SRW
47%
23%
30%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
AAA
1 - 5
SRW
53%
22%
26%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
TSG
2 - 3
AAA
70%
17%
14%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
AAA
0 - 0
ROT
64%
19%
17%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
ROT
3 - 1
AAA
61%
20%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
F95
2 - 1
AAA
46%
22%
32%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |