Eritrea vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.5%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
19.3%
73.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
18.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
17.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SYC
1 - 0
ERI
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2001 |
KEN
1 - 0
ERI
81%
13%
6%
|
14 | 70 | 56 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2001 |
ERI
0 - 0
SOM
30%
24%
46%
|
10 | 45 | 35 | +4 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
RWA
1 - 0
ERI
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 64 | 53 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2001 |
KEN
2 - 1
ERI
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 70 | 59 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
ZIM
0 - 0
ZAM
44%
27%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
ZIM
1 - 0
MLI
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2002 |
ZIM
2 - 0
LSO
79%
15%
7%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2002 |
MWI
2 - 2
ZIM
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2002 |
MWI
3 - 2
ZIM
33%
29%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |