Eritrea vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
20.7%
70.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1999 |
ERI
0 - 0
CMR
8%
18%
73%
|
9 | 80 | 71 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
MOZ
3 - 1
ERI
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 58 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1999 |
ZIM
1 - 1
EGY
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1999 |
RSA
0 - 1
ZIM
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
ZIM
1 - 1
ZAM
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
ZIM
1 - 0
MWI
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1999 |
ZIM
3 - 0
MWI
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |