Eritrea vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
73.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2007 |
DJI
2 - 3
ERI
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 2
RWA
17%
22%
61%
|
29 | 64 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2007 |
SDN
1 - 0
ERI
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 67 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2007 |
SDN
1 - 0
ERI
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 67 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
SWZ
0 - 0
ERI
70%
19%
11%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2007 |
RWA
0 - 2
UGA
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
DJI
0 - 7
UGA
15%
21%
65%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
UGA
3 - 1
NIG
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
TAN
1 - 0
UGA
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2007 |
LSO
0 - 0
UGA
22%
23%
55%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |