Eritrea vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
69.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
ERI
0 - 0
BDI
8%
15%
77%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2005 |
RWA
3 - 2
ERI
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 64 | 43 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2003 |
ERI
2 - 3
KEN
6%
15%
79%
|
21 | 74 | 53 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
UGA
2 - 1
ERI
90%
8%
2%
|
21 | 72 | 51 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
ERI
0 - 0
SDN
8%
18%
74%
|
21 | 67 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2005 |
TAN
2 - 1
BDI
53%
22%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
TAN
1 - 5
RWA
31%
23%
46%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
ETH
2 - 0
TAN
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
BDI
2 - 0
TAN
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
KEN
3 - 0
TAN
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |