Eritrea vs Seychelles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
43.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
MLI
1 - 0
ERI
88%
10%
2%
|
16 | 77 | 61 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
ERI
0 - 2
MLI
6%
16%
78%
|
16 | 77 | 61 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
TAN
1 - 1
ERI
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 63 | 47 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
KEN
4 - 1
ERI
87%
10%
2%
|
16 | 71 | 55 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
ERI
2 - 1
SDN
19%
24%
58%
|
14 | 67 | 53 | +2 |
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
SYC
2 - 1
ZIM
12%
20%
68%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
ZIM
3 - 1
SYC
82%
14%
5%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
MLI
3 - 0
SYC
83%
13%
4%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2002 |
MUS
1 - 0
SYC
66%
18%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SYC
1 - 0
ERI
79%
13%
8%
|
45 | 14 | 31 | 0 |