WC Qual. Africa Clasificación Final
Global 0-3
Eritrea vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
73.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
SDN
3 - 0
ERI
86%
10%
3%
|
21 | 67 | 46 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
ZIM
2 - 0
ERI
88%
10%
2%
|
21 | 76 | 55 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
ERI
1 - 0
SYC
32%
24%
44%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | +5 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
MLI
1 - 0
ERI
88%
10%
2%
|
16 | 77 | 61 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
ERI
0 - 2
MLI
6%
16%
78%
|
16 | 77 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
SDN
3 - 0
ERI
86%
10%
3%
|
67 | 21 | 46 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
YEM
1 - 2
SDN
34%
25%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2003 |
YEM
3 - 2
SDN
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
SDN
3 - 0
TAN
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
ZAM
1 - 1
SDN
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |