Eritrea vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
68.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2025 |
ERI
0 - 1
NIG
10%
17%
73%
|
10 | 58 | 48 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
ERI
0 - 0
NIG
10%
16%
74%
|
9 | 58 | 49 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
NAM
2 - 0
ERI
73%
18%
9%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | -24 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
ERI
1 - 2
NAM
7%
14%
79%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 1
ERI
76%
17%
7%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
SDN
1 - 1
SSD
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
COD
1 - 0
SSD
71%
18%
12%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
RWA
2 - 1
SSD
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SSD
3 - 2
RWA
17%
22%
61%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
RSA
3 - 0
SSD
85%
12%
4%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | -1 |