Eritrea vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
63%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
SDN
3 - 0
ERI
84%
12%
5%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
RWA
3 - 1
ERI
75%
17%
9%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
ERI
1 - 1
RWA
15%
22%
63%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
ERI
0 - 3
SSD
15%
21%
63%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
TAN
4 - 0
ERI
72%
18%
9%
|
35 | 66 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
SSD
2 - 2
UGA
20%
22%
59%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
0 - 0
SSD
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 0
UGA
19%
21%
60%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CMR
3 - 1
SSD
90%
8%
2%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
ERI
0 - 3
SSD
15%
21%
63%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |