Eritrea vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
63.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
TAN
4 - 0
ERI
72%
18%
9%
|
35 | 66 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ERI
1 - 2
SOM
35%
25%
41%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
RWA
2 - 1
ERI
70%
19%
10%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
LBY
4 - 2
ERI
81%
14%
6%
|
37 | 74 | 37 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
ERI
3 - 1
SLE
11%
20%
69%
|
34 | 68 | 34 | +3 |