Eritrea vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
61.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2007 |
SDN
1 - 0
ERI
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 67 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2007 |
SDN
1 - 0
ERI
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 67 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
SWZ
0 - 0
ERI
70%
19%
11%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 0
KEN
18%
23%
59%
|
28 | 68 | 40 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 1
ANG
9%
18%
73%
|
27 | 79 | 52 | +1 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
RWA
4 - 0
LBR
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
CMR
2 - 1
RWA
88%
9%
3%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
KEN
2 - 0
RWA
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
RWA
2 - 0
EQG
43%
24%
33%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
RWA
1 - 0
BDI
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |