Eritrea vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 1
ANG
9%
18%
73%
|
27 | 79 | 52 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 1
SDN
21%
25%
54%
|
27 | 66 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 0
SDN
21%
25%
54%
|
25 | 66 | 41 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ANG
6 - 1
ERI
83%
12%
4%
|
26 | 79 | 53 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
YEM
4 - 1
ERI
85%
11%
5%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
KEN
2 - 0
RWA
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
SWZ
0 - 0
KEN
24%
25%
52%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
KEN
0 - 1
NGA
21%
28%
51%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
KEN
2 - 0
SWZ
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
ANG
3 - 1
KEN
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |