Eritrea vs Kenya analysis

Eritrea Kenya
29 ELO 68
-14.9% Tilt -0.9%
15875º General ELO ranking 2220º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
18.3%
Eritrea
22.8%
Draw
58.9%
Kenya

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
Eritrea
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.9%
Win probability
Kenya
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Eritrea
Kenya
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Eritrea
Eritrea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 2007
ERI
Eritrea
1 - 1
Angola
ANG
9%
18%
73%
27 79 52 0
26 May. 2007
ERI
Eritrea
1 - 1
South Sudan
SDN
21%
25%
54%
27 66 39 0
21 May. 2007
ERI
Eritrea
1 - 0
South Sudan
SDN
21%
25%
54%
25 66 41 +2
25 Mar. 2007
ANG
Angola
6 - 1
Eritrea
ERI
83%
12%
4%
26 79 53 -1
07 Jan. 2007
YEM
Yemen
4 - 1
Eritrea
ERI
85%
11%
5%
26 54 28 0

Matches

Kenya
Kenya
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jun. 2007
KEN
Kenya
2 - 0
Rwanda
RWA
48%
24%
28%
67 65 2 0
03 Jun. 2007
SWZ
Swaziland
0 - 0
Kenya
KEN
24%
25%
52%
67 54 13 0
27 May. 2007
KEN
Kenya
0 - 1
Nigeria
NGA
21%
28%
51%
68 88 20 -1
25 Mar. 2007
KEN
Kenya
2 - 0
Swaziland
SWZ
64%
21%
15%
67 54 13 +1
08 Oct. 2006
ANG
Angola
3 - 1
Kenya
KEN
65%
21%
14%
67 79 12 0