Eritrea vs Burundi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
77%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2005 |
RWA
3 - 2
ERI
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 64 | 43 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2003 |
ERI
2 - 3
KEN
6%
15%
79%
|
21 | 74 | 53 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
UGA
2 - 1
ERI
90%
8%
2%
|
21 | 72 | 51 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
ERI
0 - 0
SDN
8%
18%
74%
|
21 | 67 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
SDN
3 - 0
ERI
86%
10%
3%
|
21 | 67 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2005 |
TAN
2 - 1
BDI
53%
22%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2004 |
ETH
3 - 0
BDI
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2004 |
SDN
1 - 2
BDI
70%
18%
13%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
BDI
2 - 0
TAN
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2004 |
BDI
3 - 1
RWA
16%
20%
64%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +2 |