Eritrea vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
73%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2025 |
ERI
0 - 0
NIG
10%
16%
74%
|
9 | 58 | 49 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
NAM
2 - 0
ERI
73%
18%
9%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | -24 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
ERI
1 - 2
NAM
7%
14%
79%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 1
ERI
76%
17%
7%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ERI
0 - 2
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2025 |
ERI
0 - 0
NIG
10%
16%
74%
|
58 | 9 | 49 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
OMA
4 - 1
NIG
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
NIG
6 - 0
BES
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
NIG
1 - 2
MAR
8%
20%
72%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
NIG
0 - 0
TOG
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |