Eritrea vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
77.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
NAM
2 - 0
ERI
73%
18%
9%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
ERI
1 - 2
NAM
7%
14%
79%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 1
ERI
76%
17%
7%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ERI
0 - 2
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
SDN
3 - 0
ERI
84%
12%
5%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ZAM
4 - 2
CGO
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GAM
2 - 2
CGO
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CGO
0 - 2
MLI
19%
26%
55%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
SSD
0 - 1
CGO
18%
21%
61%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
CGO
1 - 2
SSD
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |