Eritrea vs Angola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
72.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 1
SDN
21%
25%
54%
|
27 | 66 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 0
SDN
21%
25%
54%
|
25 | 66 | 41 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ANG
6 - 1
ERI
83%
12%
4%
|
26 | 79 | 53 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
YEM
4 - 1
ERI
85%
11%
5%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
ERI
0 - 0
SWZ
10%
17%
73%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
ANG
0 - 0
CGO
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ANG
6 - 1
ERI
83%
12%
4%
|
79 | 26 | 53 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
TAN
1 - 1
ANG
18%
23%
59%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ZAM
2 - 0
ANG
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
ANG
3 - 1
KEN
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |