Erith & Belvedere vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
44.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erith & Belvedere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
DAR
1 - 1
ERI
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
ERI
2 - 0
WIV
22%
23%
55%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +3 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BER
3 - 2
ERI
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
ERI
1 - 3
WAL
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
HAR
2 - 2
ERI
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
WIN
1 - 2
BOR
26%
24%
50%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
WIN
2 - 0
BEA
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
UXB
2 - 1
WIN
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
BAE
3 - 2
WIN
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
WIN
1 - 1
BER
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |