FA Cup Previa 1
Global 4-2
Erith & Belvedere vs Tooting and Mitcham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
64.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erith & Belvedere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
TOO
1 - 1
ERI
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
TOW
1 - 5
ERI
14%
17%
69%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ERI
3 - 1
HYB
60%
19%
21%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
ERI
3 - 0
RAM
14%
16%
71%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
HAR
5 - 0
ERI
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
TOO
1 - 1
ERI
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
THR
1 - 0
TOO
25%
23%
52%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BOG
2 - 0
TOO
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
TOO
3 - 0
BED
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
STA
0 - 4
TOO
21%
21%
58%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +2 |