Ergué-Gaberic vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
33.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
6º
13º
10º
21
5º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
15% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ergué-Gaberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
ERG
2 - 0
FLE
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
LOR
4 - 0
ERG
69%
19%
12%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ERG
1 - 1
LAN
32%
22%
45%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
STA
5 - 1
ERG
81%
12%
8%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ERG
3 - 4
SPM
21%
20%
59%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
PLA
0 - 3
LOR
13%
21%
67%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SAI
1 - 2
PLA
48%
23%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
PLA
0 - 0
STA
19%
21%
60%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SPM
0 - 1
PLA
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 1
GUI
17%
20%
63%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |