Ergué-Gaberic vs Guingamp II analysis

Ergué-Gaberic Guingamp II
29 ELO 47
-4% Tilt -12.9%
9336º General ELO ranking 5540º
313º Country ELO ranking 124º
ELO win probability
25.5%
Ergué-Gaberic
24.5%
Draw
50%
Guingamp II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
Ergué-Gaberic
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
50%
Win probability
Guingamp II
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ergué-Gaberic
+48%
-2%
Guingamp II

Points and table prediction

Ergué-Gaberic
Their league position
Guingamp II
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
13º
10º
49
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lorient II
49
52
70.5%
AF Virois
48
51
38.5%
Guingamp II
49
49
53%
Stade Rennais II
41
43
89%
Saint-Pierre Milizac
40
41
89%
Union Sportive Fougères
34
35
61.5%
OC Cesson
34
34
56%
Vannes
32
34
64%
Pontivy
32
32
100%
Ergué-Gaberic
10º
31
31
10º
85%
Lannion
11º
30
30
11º
62.5%
FC Flérien
12º
29
29
12º
62.5%
Plabennec
13º
21
21
13º
100%
Saint-Lô Manche
14º
18
18
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ergué-Gaberic
Guingamp II
Promotion
0% 6%
Mid-table
85% 94%
Relegation
15% 0%

ELO progression

Ergué-Gaberic
Guingamp II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ergué-Gaberic
Ergué-Gaberic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2025
CES
OC Cesson
3 - 0
Ergué-Gaberic
ERG
55%
21%
24%
31 36 5 0
22 Mar. 2025
ERG
Ergué-Gaberic
1 - 1
AF Virois
AFV
21%
22%
57%
30 47 17 +1
15 Mar. 2025
PON
Pontivy
0 - 1
Ergué-Gaberic
ERG
65%
19%
16%
29 41 12 +1
08 Mar. 2025
ERG
Ergué-Gaberic
0 - 3
Vannes
VAN
29%
22%
49%
30 39 9 -1
22 Feb. 2025
USF
Union Sportive Fougères
1 - 1
Ergué-Gaberic
ERG
52%
21%
27%
30 30 0 0

Matches

Guingamp II
Guingamp II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2025
GUI
Guingamp II
0 - 1
Lorient II
LOR
31%
25%
44%
47 52 5 0
22 Mar. 2025
SAI
Saint-Lô Manche
2 - 3
Guingamp II
GUI
17%
22%
61%
47 29 18 0
15 Mar. 2025
GUI
Guingamp II
1 - 1
Lannion
LAN
65%
20%
15%
47 38 9 0
08 Mar. 2025
GUI
Guingamp II
1 - 1
Stade Rennais II
STA
50%
24%
26%
47 45 2 0
22 Feb. 2025
GUI
Guingamp II
1 - 1
Saint-Pierre Milizac
SPM
45%
25%
30%
46 47 1 +1