Ergué-Gaberic vs Guingamp II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
50%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
6º
13º
10º
49
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
15% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ergué-Gaberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CES
3 - 0
ERG
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ERG
1 - 1
AFV
21%
22%
57%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
PON
0 - 1
ERG
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
ERG
0 - 3
VAN
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
USF
1 - 1
ERG
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
GUI
0 - 1
LOR
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SAI
2 - 3
GUI
17%
22%
61%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
GUI
1 - 1
LAN
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
GUI
1 - 1
STA
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
GUI
1 - 1
SPM
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |