Érezée vs Messancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
53.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Érezée
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
OPP
3 - 0
ERE
74%
15%
12%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ERE
1 - 1
RES
31%
22%
47%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
EBE
3 - 4
ERE
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 0
ERE
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ERE
1 - 2
FLO
67%
17%
16%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MES
1 - 0
LOR
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
EBE
0 - 0
MES
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LIB
4 - 0
MES
61%
20%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
EHM
0 - 1
MES
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VAU
0 - 2
MES
36%
23%
42%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |