Epila CF B vs Morata CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+94%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Epila CF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ARI
3 - 0
EPI
51%
21%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CFV
2 - 3
EPI
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
EPI
0 - 1
CDC
30%
24%
47%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
EPI
1 - 1
TOR
38%
23%
38%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
LUC
0 - 1
EPI
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CDM
2 - 3
CDC
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
TOR
0 - 1
CDM
28%
25%
48%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CDM
3 - 0
LUC
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CDM
3 - 0
TAU
46%
23%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
LMU
1 - 1
CDM
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |