Envigado vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
MIL
1 - 0
ENV
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
ENV
1 - 0
CAL
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
ENV
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ENV
1 - 0
IND
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ONC
3 - 2
ENV
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
NAC
28%
25%
48%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
PER
0 - 0
CAR
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 0
QUI
44%
26%
29%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
CAR
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
AGU
3 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |