Envigado vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
BUC
3 - 1
ENV
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
QUI
1 - 0
ENV
46%
28%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
ENV
0 - 3
CAL
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 0
ENV
63%
23%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
ENV
2 - 0
HUI
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 1
CHI
40%
27%
32%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
JUN
2 - 1
CAR
73%
18%
10%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
TOL
4 - 1
CAR
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 0
SFE
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
CAR
2 - 1
AME
29%
27%
45%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |