Envigado vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2005 |
AME
1 - 0
ENV
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
ENV
3 - 0
JUN
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
IND
1 - 1
ENV
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
ENV
2 - 1
PER
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2005 |
MIL
2 - 1
ENV
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2005 |
CAR
3 - 0
BUC
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
CAL
2 - 2
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
CAR
2 - 1
UNI
59%
24%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 1
CAR
59%
24%
18%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2005 |
CAR
3 - 0
ONC
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |