Copa Colombia 1/64
Global 2-0
Envigado vs Orsomarso SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
ENV
2 - 2
JAG
45%
28%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
ENV
1 - 0
PAT
50%
27%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 0
ENV
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ENV
1 - 1
AME
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
PAS
0 - 1
ENV
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Orsomarso SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
QUI
1 - 1
ORS
66%
22%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ORS
0 - 1
CUC
15%
25%
60%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
TFC
0 - 1
ORS
42%
29%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
ORS
1 - 3
UNI
17%
25%
58%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
COR
0 - 1
ORS
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |