Envigado vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
44.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
ENV
1 - 0
PAS
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
BUC
2 - 1
ENV
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
ENV
1 - 0
JAG
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 2
ENV
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
ENV
1 - 1
AME
39%
29%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
MIL
1 - 0
LEO
69%
21%
11%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
PAS
0 - 1
MIL
28%
28%
44%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MIL
1 - 1
ONC
47%
27%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
MIL
2 - 3
EQU
52%
27%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ONC
1 - 0
MIL
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |