Apertura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-6
Envigado vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2015 |
MIL
4 - 0
ENV
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ENV
0 - 2
IND
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
PAT
0 - 1
ENV
38%
29%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
ENV
0 - 1
JAG
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ENV
0 - 0
SFE
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2015 |
MIL
4 - 0
ENV
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SFE
1 - 3
MIL
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MIL
3 - 1
IND
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
EQU
0 - 0
MIL
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
MIL
0 - 0
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |